Big Push

The big push is a development-economics idea that poor countries may need coordinated large-scale investment across sectors to escape low-level traps.

The big push is the idea that a poor economy may need coordinated large-scale investment across many sectors at once to escape a low-development trap.

The model logic

The theory starts from complementarity. One factory alone may not be profitable if workers remain poor, infrastructure is weak, and demand for its output is limited. But if many sectors expand together, each sector helps create demand and productivity gains for the others.

That logic often relies on:

  • indivisibilities,
  • external economies of scale,
  • coordination failures,
  • poverty traps.

Why a “push” might be needed

If private investors move one by one, each may wait for someone else to invest first. The economy can remain stuck in a low-income equilibrium even when a higher-income equilibrium is feasible.

The big-push argument says coordinated action, often involving the state or development institutions, can move the economy across that threshold.

Main criticism

The critique is that coordination is hard and governments may back the wrong sectors or overreach administratively. So the practical question is not whether coordination can matter, but when large-scale intervention is more effective than incremental development.

Knowledge Check

### What problem is the big-push theory mainly trying to solve? - [x] An economy stuck in a low-development equilibrium because complementary investments do not happen together - [ ] Short-run inflation targeting - [ ] Bond pricing in liquid markets - [ ] Seasonal unemployment in agriculture only > **Explanation:** The theory is about escaping coordination failures that keep poor economies below a higher-growth threshold. ### Why might a single isolated investment fail in a very poor economy? - [x] Because supporting demand, infrastructure, and complementary sectors may be missing - [ ] Because productivity is always zero in developing countries - [ ] Because trade is impossible before industrialization - [ ] Because firms never respond to profits > **Explanation:** Complementarities matter: one successful project may depend on other investments happening alongside it. ### What is the main policy argument behind a big push? - [x] Coordinated large-scale action can move the economy to a better equilibrium - [ ] Small reforms are always useless - [ ] Markets can never coordinate anything - [ ] Development depends only on exchange-rate policy > **Explanation:** The theory does not say coordination is always easy, but it says some development failures are collective-action failures rather than isolated firm-level problems.