Statistics

Aggregate Data
Data formed by combining many observations into totals, averages, or rates (for example GDP, inflation, unemployment).
ARFIMA
An autoregressive fractionally integrated moving average model that captures long memory via fractional differencing.
Atkinson Index
An inequality measure based on equally distributed equivalent income, with an explicit parameter for inequality aversion.
Autocorrelation Function (ACF)
A sequence of correlations between a time series and its own lagged values, used to describe persistence and guide time-series modeling.
Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) Model
A time-series forecasting model that combines autoregression, differencing, and moving-average shocks.
Balancing Item
A statistical adjustment used when two theoretically equal aggregates do not match in measured data.
Bandwidth (Nonparametric Estimation)
The smoothing window that controls how much neighboring data influence a nonparametric estimate.
Consumer Price Index
A price index tracking changes in the cost of a representative basket of consumer goods and services (a common inflation measure).
Continuous Distribution
A probability distribution defined over a continuum of values, described by a density function.
Covariance Matrix
A square matrix that collects variances and covariances across multiple variables (used in econometrics and portfolio risk).
Detrending
The process of separating long-run trend movements from short-run fluctuations in economic time series.
Dickey-Fuller
A unit-root test used to assess whether a time series is nonstationary (has a unit root) or mean-reverting.
Discrete Distribution
A probability distribution for variables that take countable values, represented by a probability mass function.
Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) Estimator
An econometric estimator that fits parameters by matching model-implied moments to sample moments.
Interpolation
Estimating unknown values between observed data points (for example filling missing values within a time series).
Logistic Distribution
A continuous probability distribution with an S-shaped cumulative function, widely used in econometrics.
Mean
The average value of a variable, commonly used to summarize data and connect samples to expectations.
Omitted Variable Bias
Why regression estimates become biased when a relevant explanatory variable is left out.
Paasche Price Index
A price index that uses current-period quantities as weights to compare current prices to base-period prices.
Standard Industrial Classification
A coding framework used to classify business activities for statistics, regulation, and economic analysis.